Blogs & Opinion


Phil Clarke:

Recent Comments:

Trevor Fuller on Running on empty

"Hi Phil, Another interesting & thought-provoking article here! One thing I'd like to know is, if you compare this situation currently with clubs in the NRL in Australia or New ... " View all comments

David Mullen on Growing pains

"Bravery and passion are the least we should expect off anyone playing this sport..Am afraid my opinion off Morley is that his game is based on bullying and thuggery .I take your point ... " View all comments

Matt Summersgill on Opportunity knocks

"I compleatly agree with everything you have just said Phill. As a Rhinos fan i am very proud of what out team has achived & with the british players it has acheived it with, Altough I'm... " View all comments

Paul Thwaites on Code of conduct

"Professional sportspeople are in the public eye and therefore have an obligation to set a good example to the public. Footballers get paid extraordinarily high wages, rugby players ... " View all comments

Micheal Finney on Testing times

"It's a really sad story that is becoming all too familiar. Most of the former players seem to think that the clubs should do more but Gareth is an adult and he alone is responsible for ... " View all comments

Paul Melling on Testing times

"Well,he isn¿t the first and he sure won¿t be the last to get caught using banned drugs. Every professional player knows the consequences of testing positive for cocaine..yet still Mr ... " View all comments

The i of the beholder

Phil gets to grips with predicting a game and the new pitch at Widnes

Phil Clarke Posted 8th February 2012 view comments

At last, the 27-round talent competition to make the play-offs is finally under way.

Catalan sit at the top of the table and will hope to do so when they entertain Bradford in September but I've no doubt that there will be great drama along the way, not just on the field.

Maintaining the balance of the squad, keeping the discipline, fostering the right attitude and inspiring the magic moments are the constant challenges facing the coach every day.

The ipitch at Widnes

The ipitch at Widnes

Can he get each member of the squad to understand and accept his role within the team? Does his team have the right blend? Balanced groups allow all of the players to make a maximum contribution for the benefit of the team, and it's not that easy for a coach to convince some players to play a role that they wouldn't automatically chose.

The first weekend's action saw three new things; a new stadium, a new pitch and a new way of looking at the stats that we collect.

We don't use the current score to calculate the end of game margin, if we did we could be far more accurate, we're basing our prediction of how the game is going.

Phil Clarke
Quotes of the week

LIVE ON SKY SPORTS
St Helens v Salford City Reds

7.30pm, Fri, Sky Sports HD1
Wigan v Leeds
5.30pm, Sat, Sky Sports HD1
Watch on the move with Sky Go
How to remote record

Our Margin Meter simply measures the momentum of the match. Based on the fundamentals of what the two teams are doing - possession, attacking play and defensive play - we can observe which team has the upper hand.

Rather than just flashing up which team has made the most metres or missed the tackles, it attempts to predict what that might mean on the scoreboard at the end of the match. The greatest players of course, can change the momentum of a match, but we tend to see a similar pattern over the course of a season.

Collecting stats

Somebody asked me the other day "Why do you bother collecting all these stats?"

Well it's because we've found, and every coach knows, that they are very predictive of where your team will finish after 27 rounds. We try to look at the stats to understand 'cause and effect'.

We don't use the current score to calculate the end-of-game margin, if we did we could be far more accurate, we're basing our prediction of how the game is going.

Some coaches and pundits say that handling errors play a crucial part in games and that the recipe for success is to have a high completion rate. Well that wasn't the story on Saturday night at Salford where the Tigers made more handling errors than the Reds but still won the game.

The fact that they made over 450 metres more when running with the ball was probably the biggest stand-out difference. I want to make evidenced-based comments that at times contradict some of the myths that exist and are so often stated.

The other big difference for Salford and their supporters were the wonderful facilities that they now have to play in. It is a credit to the people who have faced a series of hurdles and setbacks over the last decade in their move from the Willows. Their perseverance finally paid off and I hope that it's the start of a positive new era for them.

Talking of a new era, the ipitch at Widnes is certainly that. I thought that it looked great and seemed to help produce a quick game.

There were some complaints about skin burns on the surface, but I saw worse ones on players on Saturday at Salford in the snow. In fact if you just watched the game on television and wasn't aware that it wasn't being played on grass, I doubt that you would have known.

The only thing strange about it was that none of the players were dirty at the end of the match!

back to top

Other Rugby League Experts:

Latest Posts in Rugby League:

Stevo

Magical Manchester

Stevo believes the Magic Weekend will go from strength to strength, if it remains in Manchester....

Barrie vs Terry

Barrie v Terry

Barrie McDermott and Terry O'Connor go head-to-head with their Magic Weekend predictions......

0 comments

Latest News RSS feeds

McDermott: No Leeds crisis

Rhinos boss Brian McDermott insists there is no "crisis" as they head to the Magic Weekend with back-to-back defeats.

Gentle aiming to end hoodoo

Hull coach Peter Gentle is hoping his team can finally break their Magic Weekend duck against arch rivals Hull KR.

Wellens: Saints need to build

St Helens captain Paul Wellens wants another strong performance in the Magic Weekend showdown with Warrington.

Live Magic Weekend!

Live behind-the-scenes Super League coverage from the Etihad Stadium

Powell ready for crucial test

Castleford coach Daryl Powell believes his side's Magic Weekend showdown with Wakefield is a must-win match.

Features

Spider Cam to be used at Sky Sports' Super League Magic Weekend

Spider Cam to be used at Sky Sports' Super League Magic Weekend

Former Super League referee Stuart Cummings is joining Sky Sports for Magic Weekend, as well as a snazzy new gadget - Spider Cam.

Fiddes' Cent

Fiddes' Cent

Sky Bet's expert tells us where the smart money will be going on this weekend's Magic Weekend action.

Super League: We take a look back at Magic Weekend's best bits ahead of the 2013 event

Super League: We take a look back at Magic Weekend's best bits ahead of the 2013 event

Super League descends on Manchester at the weekend as the Etihad Stadium hosts the seventh edition of 'Magic Weekend'. Ahead of the action, we take a look back at some of the major moments from the event down the years...